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2019年第一季 ─ 美國期貨波段學員操作報表分享(持續更新中)

2018年第四季,先是中美貿易戰升溫,股市震盪,隨後貿易戰逐漸緩解,卻出現利空不漲的劇烈殺盤,光是三大指數之一的小道瓊就下跌了超過4000點,眾多美股投資人度過了一個非常難過的聖誕節,但隔天12/26,全球股市都贏來跨年的曙光! 閱讀更多

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【海期大贏家】三大利多同時到位加持,多頭就位20191012

  如果說要對影響今年以來的美國股市有什麼重要因素做一個結論,大概沒有人會反對,不是企業財報、不是地緣政治,而是全球貿易局勢及美聯儲貨幣政策的變化。每每有行情出現劇烈的變化,通常都不脫這兩個因素,而這中間又以國際貿易局勢最是影響巨大。因此當本周有機會談出一個協定時,哪怕是階段性的協定,對於困擾已久的資本市場來說,無疑是久旱逢甘霖。 閱讀更多

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 本周諸項利空齊發讓美股一度出現大跌,與過往不同的是,本次利空中除了政治面紛擾外,還包含了經濟資料的明顯走弱,讓市場燃起美國經濟可能衰退的疑慮,美股一度出現大跌。鄰近週末,在最新非農資料寫下近半世紀以來最低失業率的帶動下,加上美聯儲主席談話背書助攻,美股出現漲勢收復失土。 閱讀更多

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 股市中有一句名言:「不怕利空、只怕不確定」。大致的意思是指比起利空可能帶來的下跌,市場更不願意見到多空不明的局勢。下跌可以多單出場、可以避險、可以放空,但多空不明的局勢卻會造成進出決策上的兩難,進退沒有依據。目前的國際局勢,就是如此。 閱讀更多

【海期大贏家】貨幣政策熱點落幕,市場焦點重回國際局勢20190921

  四巫日衍生品結算剛過,美股盤中就傳來突發消息而呈現跳水走勢。前一日,當美聯儲利率點陣圖暗指2019第四季恐沒有降息空間時,美股引來一波盤中大跌,隨後在主席鮑威爾不排除擴表的鴿派談話再度援救下,美國三大指數旱地拔蔥急拉而以小漲做收,由走勢可以明顯感受市場對於貨幣政策的依賴。 閱讀更多